Reduction in Risk of Death Among Patients Admitted With COVID-19 Between the First and Second Epidemic Waves in New York City.

Background: Many regions have experienced successive epidemic waves of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) since the emergence of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), with heterogeneous differences in mortality. Elucidating factors differentially associated with mortality between epidemic waves may inform clinical and public health strategies. Methods: We examined clinical and demographic data among patients admitted with COVID-19 during the first (March-August 2020) and second (August 2020-March 2021) epidemic waves at an academic medical center in New York City. Results: Hospitalized patients (n = 4631) had lower overall and 30-day in-hospital mortality, defined as death or discharge to hospice, during the second wave (14% and 11%) than the first (22% and 21%). The wave 2 in-hospital mortality decrease persisted after adjusting for several potential confounders. Adjusting for the volume of COVID-19 admissions, a measure of health system strain, accounted for the mortality difference between waves. Several demographic and clinical patient factors were associated with an increased risk of mortality independent of wave: SARS-CoV-2 cycle threshold, do-not-intubate status, oxygen requirement, and intensive care unit admission. Conclusions: This work suggests that the increased in-hospital mortality rates observed during the first epidemic wave were partly due to strain on hospital resources. Preparations for future epidemics should prioritize evidence-based patient risks, treatment paradigms, and approaches to augment hospital capacity.

Reduction in risk of death among patients admitted with COVID-19 between first and second epidemic waves in New York City

Background Many regions have experienced successive epidemic waves of COVID-19 since the emergence of SARS-CoV-2 with heterogeneous differences in mortality. Elucidating factors differentially associated with mortality between epidemic waves may inform clinical and public health strategies. Methods We examined clinical and demographic data among patients admitted with COVID-19 during the first (March-August 2020) and second (August 2020-March 2021) epidemic waves at an academic medical center in New York City. Results Hospitalized patients (N = 4631) had lower overall and 30-day in-hospital mortality, defined as death or discharge to hospice, during the second wave (14% and 11%) than the first (22% and 21%). The wave 2 in-hospital mortality decrease persisted after adjusting for several potential confounders. Adjusting for the volume of COVID-19 admissions, a measure of health system strain, accounted for the mortality difference between waves. Several demographic and clinical patient factors were associated with an increased risk of mortality independent of wave;SARS-CoV-2 cycle threshold, Do-Not-Intubate status, oxygen requirement, and intensive care unit admission. Conclusions This work suggests that increased in-hospital mortality rates observed during the first epidemic wave were partly due to strain on hospital resources. Preparations for future epidemics should prioritize evidence-based patient risks, treatment paradigms, and approaches to augment hospital capacity.

Bacterial Pneumonia and Respiratory Culture Utilization among Hospitalized Patients with and without COVID-19 in a New York City Hospital.

COVID-19 is associated with prolonged hospitalization and a high risk of intubation, which raises concern for bacterial coinfection and antimicrobial resistance. Previous research has shown a wide range of bacterial pneumonia rates for COVID-19 patients in a variety of clinical and demographic settings, but none have compared hospitalized COVID-19 patients to patients testing negative for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) in similar care settings. We performed a retrospective cohort study on hospitalized patients with COVID-19 testing from March 10th, 2020 to December 31st, 2020. A total of 19,219 patients were included, of which 3,796 tested positive for SARS-CoV-2. We found a 2.6-fold increase (P < 0.001) in respiratory culture ordering in COVID-19 patients. On a per-patient basis, COVID-19 patients were 1.5-fold more likely than non-COVID patients to have positive respiratory cultures (46.8% versus 30.9%, P < 0.001), which was primarily driven by patients requiring intubation. Among patients with pneumonia, a significantly higher proportion of COVID-19 patients had ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) relative to non-COVID patients (86.3% versus 70.8%, P < 0.001), but a lower proportion had community-acquired (11.2% vs 25.5%, P < 0.01) pneumonia. There was also a significantly higher proportion of respiratory cultures positive for methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus, Klebsiella pneumoniae, and antibiotic-resistant organisms in COVID-19 patients. Increased rates of respiratory culture ordering for COVID-19 patients therefore appear to be clinically justified for patients requiring intubation, but further research is needed to understand how SARS-CoV-2 increases the risk of VAP.